Modelling debris flow/debris flood hazards under climate change scenarios in the Andes Cordillera of central Chile

July 13, 2019

International conference · 2019

Clavero, J., Droguett, B., Pérez, W., Vidal, P., Briceño, I., Tamayo, A., Kovacic, I.

Published in: 27th IUGG General Assembly, simposio JC03 Mountain Cryosphere Hazards (IACS, IAVCEI), Montreal, Canadá. IUGG19-2327.
Institutions: Amawta Geoconsultores, Universidad Mayor, Anglo American Chile
Original language: English
Topics: Climate change · Central Chile · Mass movements
Keywords: debris flow, climate change, Central Andes

Abstract

First results of the project assessing how climate change will affect mass-movement hazards in the high Andes of central Chile, comparing two climate models for the period 2030–2050.

One model (HadGEM2-ES) projects more rainfall events above 20 mm/day; the other (MPI-ESM-LR) fewer but more extreme events, of up to 150 mm/day. The key effects identified are the enlargement of catchment areas, the shift of the rainy season towards less cold months and possible intense spring rainfall.

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How to cite

Clavero, J., Droguett, B., Pérez, W., Vidal, P., Briceño, I., Tamayo, A., Kovacic, I. (2019). Modelling debris flow/debris flood hazards under climate change scenarios in the Andes Cordillera of central Chile. 27th IUGG General Assembly, simposio JC03 Mountain Cryosphere Hazards (IACS, IAVCEI), Montreal, Canadá. IUGG19-2327.